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Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET

data as of 2025-11-21 20:39 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.6K+$2.6K$4.0K
Holders67−2996
Trades576−245821
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.3%
+11.8 pp
41.4%
Avg ROI-5.9%
−3.9 pp
-2.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.64
−25.05×
×25.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.62
−30.46×
×31.07
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.1K
+$1.5K
$627
Recent buyer dominance0.82
−0.13
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL59.4%
+156.1 pp
-96.7%
Underwater %0.1%
−98.5 pp
98.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %68.5%
+28.1 pp
40.4%
Bot %68.6%
+29.6 pp
39.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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