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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET

data as of 2026-03-26 08:44 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$56K+$31K$25K
Holders490+22468
Trades4.4K−6625.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate59.4%
+15.8 pp
43.5%
Avg ROI-0.4%
+1.9 pp
-2.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.69
−28.12×
×28.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.70
−32.56×
×33.26
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$44.8K
+$21.2K
$23.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.00
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL43.0%
+139.7 pp
-96.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−95.1 pp
95.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %85.9%
+2.0 pp
84.0%
Bot %85.4%
+1.8 pp
83.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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