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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

data as of 2026-07-14 19:40 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K−$18K$31K
Holders362−14376
Trades2.5K−32.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.8%
−15.1 pp
64.9%
Avg ROI3.5%
+0.0 pp
3.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.41
−0.20×
×0.62
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.31
−0.40×
×0.71
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$12.5K
−$17.2K
$29.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
−0.00
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL163.1%
+113.5 pp
49.6%
Underwater %0.0%
−3.5 pp
3.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %30.9%
+4.0 pp
26.9%
Bot %49.5%
+1.4 pp
48.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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