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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

data as of 2026-05-18 07:37 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$3.4K+$924$2.5K
Holders32032
Trades443+37406
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate61.8%
+8.1 pp
53.7%
Avg ROI0.8%
+1.0 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.92
−1.45×
×2.37
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.88
−1.46×
×2.34
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$493
+$239
$254
Recent buyer dominance0.98
−0.02
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL15.4%
+73.2 pp
-57.8%
Underwater %17.4%
−82.6 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %70.6%
+3.8 pp
66.8%
Bot %70.4%
+4.0 pp
66.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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