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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET

data as of 2026-07-08 18:29 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$18K+$4.9K$13K
Holders356+55301
Trades3.0K+1842.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ UDDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.9%
−1.1 pp
50.0%
Avg ROI3.0%
+2.6 pp
0.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×26.50
+26.03×
×0.47
Top-20 avg cost vs price×23.99
+23.52×
×0.47
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$17.0K
+$5.8K
$11.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.08
0.88
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.7%
−213.9 pp
118.2%
Underwater %96.2%
+96.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %46.0%
+2.7 pp
43.3%
Bot %60.4%
−2.0 pp
62.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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