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Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on May 16?

data as of 2026-05-16 18:57 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.4K−$295$2.7K
Holders91−54145
Trades745+285460
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.0%
−15.7 pp
63.7%
Avg ROI3.5%
−1.3 pp
4.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.15
−86.70×
×86.84
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.34
−71.25×
×71.59
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$847
+$712
$135
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.06
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL258.9%
+357.4 pp
-98.6%
Underwater %4.6%
−92.4 pp
97.1%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %39.3%
+20.6 pp
18.7%
Bot %38.6%
+20.3 pp
18.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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