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Bitcoin Up or Down - August 9, 12PM ET

data as of 2025-08-09 16:49 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$5.2K−$24K$29K
Holders60+1347
Trades457+59398
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.4%
−6.6 pp
53.0%
Avg ROI-0.4%
+0.2 pp
-0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×16.86
+16.16×
×0.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.30
+14.62×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$31
−$881
$912
Recent buyer dominance0.94
+0.19
0.76
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.4%
−140.4 pp
47.0%
Underwater %99.5%
+99.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %45.3%
−9.3 pp
54.6%
Bot %45.0%
−9.5 pp
54.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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