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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-08 16:42 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$24K+$17K$6.8K
Holders328+32296
Trades1.7K−1591.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate57.6%
+8.8 pp
48.8%
Avg ROI1.8%
−2.8 pp
4.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.87
−5.38×
×6.25
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.85
−4.37×
×5.22
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$23.3K
+$16.8K
$6.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.04
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL20.7%
+105.3 pp
-84.6%
Underwater %0.2%
−99.6 pp
99.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %34.4%
−3.1 pp
37.5%
Bot %55.3%
−1.6 pp
56.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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