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Will Rafael Cabral win 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year?

data as of 2026-02-18 23:29 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Nov 22, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
3¢
NO
97¢
YES
3¢
YesY-NNo
Position$3−$42$44
Holders7+34
Trades24+159
NO
97¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate13.0%
+13.0 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI36.1%
+36.1 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.33
+0.33×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.29
+0.29×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$2
$4
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-22.5%
−22.5 pp
0.0%
Underwater %87.1%
+87.1 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %12.9%
−87.1 pp
100.0%
Bot %12.9%
−87.1 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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