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1,415+ Measles cases in U.S. by September 12?

data as of 2025-08-28 21:52 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.5K+$2.4K$134
Holders5−1419
Trades48−89137
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate80.3%
+34.5 pp
45.8%
Avg ROI5.2%
+2.5 pp
2.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.71×
×1.71
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.98×
×1.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$109
+$114
−$5
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+46.0 pp
-46.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−69.7 pp
69.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−2.3 pp
2.3%
Bot %0.0%
−2.3 pp
2.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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