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Will Israel strike Gaza on December 13?

data as of 2025-12-13 12:59 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$4.9K+$4.5K$318
Holders23−528
Trades176+9167
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.9%
−3.1 pp
54.9%
Avg ROI-9.0%
−20.7 pp
11.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.61
−2.45×
×3.06
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.71
−2.28×
×2.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$293
−$490
$198
Recent buyer dominance0.02
−0.95
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL44.1%
+113.7 pp
-69.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−95.5 pp
95.5%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %2.4%
−3.0 pp
5.4%
Bot %6.1%
+0.7 pp
5.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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