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Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

data as of 2026-02-18 14:42 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$272−$19K$19K
Holders59+158
Trades603+263340
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate45.3%
−32.8 pp
78.1%
Avg ROI12.4%
+6.9 pp
5.5%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.74
+0.75×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.79
+0.80×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8
−$345
$353
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-43.3%
−44.5 pp
1.3%
Underwater %88.9%
+59.1 pp
29.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %31.0%
+8.4 pp
22.6%
Bot %31.0%
+2.9 pp
28.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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