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Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 28?

data as of 2026-07-26 09:59 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 28, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
12¢
NO
88¢
YES
12¢
YesY-NNo
Position$27−$148$175
Holders16+115
Trades38+731
NO
88¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.4%
−19.7 pp
66.1%
Avg ROI14.8%
+14.8 pp
-0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.93
−0.12×
×1.05
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.84
−0.19×
×1.03
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9
−$56
$65
Recent buyer dominance0.76
−0.24
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL19.4%
+22.5 pp
-3.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−85.8 pp
85.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %12.4%
−34.0 pp
46.4%
Bot %40.3%
−16.1 pp
56.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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