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Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 21?

data as of 2026-06-20 08:39 UTC✓ on-chain▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jun 21, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
24¢
NO
77¢
YES
24¢
YesY-NNo
Position$164−$483$647
Holders23−1841
Trades92+389
NO
77¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate56.1%
−20.2 pp
76.3%
Avg ROI15.9%
−1.8 pp
17.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.58
−0.51×
×1.09
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.63
−0.48×
×1.10
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9
−$23
$32
Recent buyer dominance0.83
−0.07
0.90
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL59.6%
+68.9 pp
-9.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %4.7%
−18.0 pp
22.7%
Bot %3.0%
−19.7 pp
22.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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