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Will Trump sign the Reconciliation bill by July 31?

data as of 2025-07-03 03:41 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$13K+$13K$56
Holders9−817
Trades47−4794
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.4%
+53.4 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI3.0%
+3.0 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.83
−0.17×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.93
−0.07×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$10
−$13
$4
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL7.2%
+7.2 pp
0.0%
Underwater %44.4%
+44.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Bot %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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