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Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from October 24 to October 31, 2025?

data as of 2025-10-28 05:46 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$353−$37K$37K
Holders64−872
Trades578+276302
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.0%
−20.9 pp
58.9%
Avg ROI27.0%
+30.3 pp
-3.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.64
−0.36×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.23
+0.23×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume−$1
+$137
−$139
Recent buyer dominance0.43
+0.19
0.24
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-28.2%
−28.7 pp
0.5%
Underwater %30.6%
+25.0 pp
5.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %10.3%
−5.3 pp
15.6%
Bot %10.3%
−5.7 pp
16.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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