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Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Spain?

data as of 2026-07-03 12:41 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 26, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
3¢
NO
97¢
YES
3¢
YesY-NNo
Position$1−$27$28
Holders3+12
Trades7+43
NO
97¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.8%
+36.8 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI2.8%
+2.8 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.33
+0.33×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.27
+0.27×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$4
$5
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-21.2%
−21.2 pp
0.0%
Underwater %80.8%
+80.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %19.2%
−80.8 pp
100.0%
Bot %19.2%
−80.8 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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