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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET

data as of 2026-07-20 07:25 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K+$5.9K$6.2K
Holders124−11135
Trades1.3K−2261.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.6%
+0.7 pp
50.9%
Avg ROI0.4%
−2.4 pp
2.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.69
−32.60×
×33.29
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.71
−29.96×
×30.67
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$8.4K
+$7.2K
$1.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
+0.03
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL50.7%
+147.7 pp
-97.0%
Underwater %1.0%
−99.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %34.5%
−1.6 pp
36.1%
Bot %47.4%
−8.6 pp
56.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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