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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

data as of 2026-07-28 11:42 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$4.4K−$4.0K$8.4K
Holders274+97177
Trades1.7K+856867
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.4%
−4.2 pp
53.6%
Avg ROI0.5%
−1.2 pp
1.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×5.67
+4.87×
×0.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×7.80
+6.99×
×0.80
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.1K
−$3.9K
$8.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.97
−0.00
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-87.8%
−115.6 pp
27.8%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %22.2%
−14.2 pp
36.4%
Bot %43.1%
−26.7 pp
69.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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