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Will Elon tweet 525-549 times April 4 - 11?

data as of 2025-04-06 00:13 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$447−$36K$36K
Holders73−274347
Trades1.1K+931.0K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.2%
−26.0 pp
61.2%
Avg ROI0.1%
−0.9 pp
1.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.88
+0.88×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.90
+0.91×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$119
$120
Recent buyer dominance0.74
−0.26
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-47.0%
−47.9 pp
0.9%
Underwater %99.7%
+99.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %2.8%
−70.8 pp
73.7%
Bot %2.8%
−70.8 pp
73.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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