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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

data as of 2026-07-05 17:35 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$24K+$9.9K$14K
Holders476+32444
Trades3.4K−803.5K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate65.3%
+16.6 pp
48.7%
Avg ROI0.3%
−4.7 pp
5.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.53
−46.89×
×47.42
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.70
−43.84×
×44.54
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$22.5K
+$10.3K
$12.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.03
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL60.0%
+157.7 pp
-97.7%
Underwater %6.8%
−90.3 pp
97.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.5%
−12.8 pp
42.4%
Bot %39.6%
−13.4 pp
53.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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