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XRP Up or Down - July 16, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-16 19:43 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$40−$240$281
Holders27+1215
Trades77+2849
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate48.4%
−6.5 pp
54.8%
Avg ROI2.0%
+1.7 pp
0.3%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×3.17
+2.32×
×0.85
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.79
+3.94×
×0.85
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$35
−$246
$281
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-79.2%
−96.5 pp
17.3%
Underwater %98.0%
+98.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %26.3%
+6.4 pp
20.0%
Bot %27.8%
−3.1 pp
30.9%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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