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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET

data as of 2026-01-24 13:45 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$21K−$10K$31K
Holders341+128213
Trades5.0K+2214.8K
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate36.7%
−24.1 pp
60.8%
Avg ROI-0.1%
+0.1 pp
-0.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×42.97
+42.42×
×0.55
Top-20 avg cost vs price×41.68
+41.05×
×0.63
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$4.8K
−$4.2K
$9.0K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.12
0.80
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.4%
−159.0 pp
61.6%
Underwater %96.6%
+83.8 pp
12.8%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.7%
+1.8 pp
71.0%
Bot %72.8%
+1.9 pp
70.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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