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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

data as of 2026-02-15 04:45 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$30K+$16K$14K
Holders235−180415
Trades5.4K−1.3K6.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.7%
+17.6 pp
35.2%
Avg ROI0.1%
−7.3 pp
7.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.72
−23.44×
×24.17
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.70
−23.04×
×23.74
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$6.4K
+$3.5K
$2.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.76
−0.13
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL39.8%
+135.5 pp
-95.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−94.2 pp
94.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %72.5%
+5.6 pp
66.9%
Bot %72.3%
+5.6 pp
66.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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