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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

data as of 2026-02-01 09:42 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$58K+$36K$22K
Holders213−90303
Trades3.5K−5584.1K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate65.9%
+17.1 pp
48.8%
Avg ROI2.1%
−10.6 pp
12.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.69
−19.07×
×19.76
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.70
−27.80×
×28.50
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$5.8K
+$5.1K
$716
Recent buyer dominance0.80
−0.12
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL40.2%
+136.4 pp
-96.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.7 pp
98.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %82.9%
+36.8 pp
46.1%
Bot %82.8%
+32.8 pp
50.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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