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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8PM ET

data as of 2026-07-13 00:51 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K+$13K$6.8K
Holders79+1267
Trades969−2661.2K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate54.5%
+0.2 pp
54.3%
Avg ROI0.4%
−1.2 pp
1.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.96
−5.80×
×6.77
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.87
−5.86×
×6.73
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$860
+$722
$138
Recent buyer dominance0.71
−0.28
0.99
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL16.7%
+102.9 pp
-86.3%
Underwater %32.7%
−65.3 pp
98.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %78.8%
+14.7 pp
64.1%
Bot %83.4%
+12.0 pp
71.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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