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Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET

data as of 2026-03-16 13:58 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$52K+$40K$12K
Holders456+16440
Trades4.3K−4674.8K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.0%
+14.3 pp
40.7%
Avg ROI-0.1%
+0.7 pp
-0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.64
−16.61×
×17.24
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.63
−14.54×
×15.17
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$20.2K
+$8.4K
$11.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.95
+0.00
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL58.9%
+152.2 pp
-93.3%
Underwater %0.0%
−97.6 pp
97.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %81.5%
+10.4 pp
71.1%
Bot %80.2%
+9.8 pp
70.4%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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