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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

data as of 2026-07-23 19:19 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$22K+$7.6K$14K
Holders346−37383
Trades2.3K−5292.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.5%
−1.2 pp
50.6%
Avg ROI1.4%
+0.3 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×72.33
+72.06×
×0.28
Top-20 avg cost vs price×62.66
+62.33×
×0.32
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$20.3K
+$10.7K
$9.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.96
+0.08
0.89
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.4%
−301.5 pp
203.1%
Underwater %97.5%
+97.5 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %29.9%
−11.8 pp
41.7%
Bot %64.5%
−4.5 pp
69.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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