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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

data as of 2025-10-14 15:15 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$13K−$3.9K$17K
Holders37−1047
Trades242+23219
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.7%
−12.3 pp
48.1%
Avg ROI8.7%
+7.9 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×50.00
+49.49×
×0.51
Top-20 avg cost vs price×51.46
+50.95×
×0.52
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$150
−$1.9K
$2.1K
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.03
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-98.1%
−191.7 pp
93.6%
Underwater %100.0%
+99.7 pp
0.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %89.2%
+71.5 pp
17.8%
Bot %29.4%
+11.6 pp
17.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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