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Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 24 and 27 inclusive?

data as of 2025-12-13 08:32 UTC✓ on-chain◆ Even win rates🗓️ settles Aug 31, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
16¢
NO
84¢
YES
16¢
YesY-NNo
Position$255−$88$342
Holders20−1030
Trades101+695
NO
84¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Avg ROI0.0%
+0.0 pp
0.0%
Win-2x rate██
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██
Avg profit factor██
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Avg total profit██
·
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Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
−0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.00
−0.00×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
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██
Flow
5m net volume$1
−$3
$4
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL0.0%
+0.0 pp
-0.0%
Underwater %0.0%
−100.0 pp
100.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
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██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %100.0%
+0.0 pp
100.0%
Bot %100.0%
+0.0 pp
100.0%
Smart %██
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██
Shark %██
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██
Grinder %██
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██
OG holder %██
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Concentration
Holder HHI██
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██
Holder gini██
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██
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