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Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

data as of 2025-12-08 16:15 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$21K−$16K$37K
Holders214+62152
Trades4.9K+3204.5K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate38.3%
−8.8 pp
47.1%
Avg ROI-4.8%
−0.1 pp
-4.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×39.18
+38.66×
×0.52
Top-20 avg cost vs price×37.06
+36.57×
×0.49
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$7.0K
+$1.1K
$5.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.65
−0.08
0.74
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.4%
−195.4 pp
97.9%
Underwater %97.4%
+97.4 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %59.6%
−19.7 pp
79.3%
Bot %59.3%
−20.8 pp
80.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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