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Will Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?

data as of 2026-02-04 12:38 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$4.3K+$2.8K$1.5K
Holders48+2424
Trades142+4498
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.3%
−8.4 pp
57.8%
Avg ROI6.5%
−19.7 pp
26.2%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×22.00
+21.30×
×0.70
Top-20 avg cost vs price×21.99
+21.39×
×0.61
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$37
+$139
−$102
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.4%
−143.9 pp
48.6%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %3.5%
−18.9 pp
22.3%
Bot %3.5%
−18.9 pp
22.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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