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Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

data as of 2025-10-21 16:45 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$1.5K−$1.8K$3.3K
Holders48+246
Trades684+228456
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate46.6%
−5.3 pp
51.9%
Avg ROI8.5%
+6.4 pp
2.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×35.53
+35.04×
×0.48
Top-20 avg cost vs price×34.86
+34.35×
×0.51
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$135
+$908
−$773
Recent buyer dominance0.74
+0.36
0.37
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-97.1%
−188.2 pp
91.1%
Underwater %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.4%
−8.3 pp
62.7%
Bot %60.3%
−5.8 pp
66.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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