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Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on April 22?

data as of 2026-04-20 11:13 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$28−$13K$13K
Holders29−3968
Trades731+535196
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate33.5%
−53.5 pp
86.9%
Avg ROI8.0%
+9.3 pp
-1.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×2.17
+1.18×
×0.99
Top-20 avg cost vs price×2.22
+1.23×
×0.99
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$90
$90
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-54.9%
−55.4 pp
0.5%
Underwater %92.2%
+92.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %8.0%
+8.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %8.0%
+8.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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