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Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on January 25?

data as of 2026-01-24 21:05 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$55−$3.0K$3.0K
Holders39+2118
Trades75+3441
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate15.0%
−63.8 pp
78.8%
Avg ROI184.0%
+178.1 pp
6.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×4.95
+4.00×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11
−$685
$696
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+0.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-81.4%
−85.9 pp
4.5%
Underwater %47.8%
+47.8 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %12.3%
+2.1 pp
10.2%
Bot %12.3%
+2.1 pp
10.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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