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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET

data as of 2026-07-01 00:43 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.3K+$6.9K$2.4K
Holders115−7122
Trades1.0K+381.0K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.6%
+3.7 pp
48.9%
Avg ROI1.3%
+0.2 pp
1.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.84
−5.68×
×6.52
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.84
−6.24×
×7.08
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2.4K
+$1.8K
$579
Recent buyer dominance0.92
−0.05
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL21.0%
+107.0 pp
-86.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.9 pp
99.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %65.7%
+4.7 pp
61.0%
Bot %73.7%
+4.9 pp
68.8%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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