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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

data as of 2026-02-27 02:39 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$23K$34K
Holders423+84339
Trades4.3K+5083.8K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate35.9%
−25.5 pp
61.4%
Avg ROI-0.2%
−0.1 pp
-0.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×25.55
+24.84×
×0.71
Top-20 avg cost vs price×24.27
+23.57×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.4K
−$16.3K
$25.7K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
+0.02
0.92
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.8%
−138.0 pp
42.2%
Underwater %98.2%
+98.2 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.9%
−8.0 pp
85.0%
Bot %76.6%
−8.6 pp
85.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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