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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET

data as of 2026-05-19 00:11 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$20K+$17K$3.7K
Holders135−32167
Trades1.4K+491.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate53.0%
+5.5 pp
47.4%
Avg ROI-0.0%
+0.7 pp
-0.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.61
−18.39×
×19.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.67
−16.87×
×17.53
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$3.6K
+$2.8K
$875
Recent buyer dominance0.96
−0.01
0.98
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL54.7%
+148.9 pp
-94.2%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.0 pp
98.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %54.2%
+2.1 pp
52.2%
Bot %78.9%
+4.7 pp
74.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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