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U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy before July?

data as of 2025-06-20 16:54 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.1K−$27K$29K
Holders47−956
Trades1.2K−191.2K
NO
100¢
YesΔ YNNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.9%
−16.9 pp
68.8%
Avg ROI6.8%
+0.4 pp
6.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.19
+0.26×
×0.93
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.23
+0.30×
×0.93
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$91
+$545
−$454
Recent buyer dominance1.00
+1.00
0.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-15.3%
−23.1 pp
7.9%
Underwater %73.7%
+61.9 pp
11.9%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %12.1%
+5.6 pp
6.6%
Bot %12.1%
+5.6 pp
6.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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