Markets › detail

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on July 6?

data as of 2026-07-04 13:30 UTC▲ Higher win rate: Yes🗓️ settles Jul 6, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
29¢
NO
71¢
YES
29¢
YesY-NNo
Position$75−$220$295
Holders6−915
Trades10−1323
NO
71¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate67.7%
+21.5 pp
46.2%
Avg ROI9.0%
+8.2 pp
0.8%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.82
−0.25×
×1.07
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.83
−0.23×
×1.06
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$67
−$223
$290
Recent buyer dominance0.62
−0.04
0.66
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL21.1%
+26.8 pp
-5.7%
Underwater %0.0%
−86.2 pp
86.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %0.6%
−32.9 pp
33.5%
Bot %0.0%
−46.5 pp
46.5%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
Unlock the full panel — $19/moCancel anytime · no signup to browse