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Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -10°C or higher on January 30?

data as of 2026-01-30 20:04 UTC● RESOLVEDYes won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES✓ WON
100¢
NO
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
100¢
YesY-NNo
Position$2.4K+$1.2K$1.2K
Holders37−3269
Trades195+48147
NO
0¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate51.4%
+8.4 pp
43.0%
Avg ROI3.4%
−85.7 pp
89.1%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.16
−80.65×
×80.81
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.48
−53.23×
×53.71
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$868
+$812
$56
Recent buyer dominance0.98
−0.02
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL123.8%
+221.9 pp
-98.1%
Underwater %0.0%
−69.6 pp
69.6%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %8.1%
−16.1 pp
24.3%
Bot %7.0%
−14.1 pp
21.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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