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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET

data as of 2026-07-06 08:28 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$6.7K−$206$6.9K
Holders128+15113
Trades1.3K−1451.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate50.1%
+0.3 pp
49.8%
Avg ROI5.1%
+1.1 pp
4.0%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.98
−0.03×
×1.01
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.99
−0.03×
×1.02
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$1.2K
−$608
$1.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.93
−0.04
0.97
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL4.7%
+9.2 pp
-4.5%
Underwater %44.8%
−7.2 pp
52.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %50.7%
−1.3 pp
52.0%
Bot %69.0%
−1.2 pp
70.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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