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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET

data as of 2026-07-10 12:34 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$12K−$16K$28K
Holders283−54337
Trades2.7K+1432.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate49.0%
−2.5 pp
51.5%
Avg ROI0.5%
−0.1 pp
0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×17.21
+16.53×
×0.68
Top-20 avg cost vs price×15.91
+15.22×
×0.69
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$11.2K
−$15.0K
$26.2K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.04
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-93.5%
−137.1 pp
43.6%
Underwater %98.6%
+98.6 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %53.7%
+5.1 pp
48.6%
Bot %58.1%
+0.9 pp
57.2%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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