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Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET

data as of 2026-07-14 18:39 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$33K+$13K$20K
Holders413−32445
Trades3.0K−3573.4K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate52.1%
+2.3 pp
49.8%
Avg ROI1.0%
+0.0 pp
0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.50
−21.07×
×21.57
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.48
−19.63×
×20.11
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$31.5K
+$16.7K
$14.8K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.02
0.96
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL95.4%
+190.3 pp
-94.8%
Underwater %0.0%
−98.7 pp
98.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %42.5%
−0.0 pp
42.5%
Bot %70.3%
+7.3 pp
63.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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