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Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET

data as of 2026-02-28 04:59 UTC● RESOLVEDDown won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP
0¢
DOWN✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
0¢
UpU-DDown
Position$9.4K−$12K$21K
Holders363+109254
Trades2.9K+3192.6K
DOWN
100¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate44.1%
−22.6 pp
66.7%
Avg ROI109.4%
+97.5 pp
11.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×14.87
+14.17×
×0.69
Top-20 avg cost vs price×14.42
+13.74×
×0.68
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$9.1K
−$8.4K
$17.5K
Recent buyer dominance0.98
+0.03
0.95
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-92.9%
−139.8 pp
46.9%
Underwater %99.4%
+99.1 pp
0.3%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %76.5%
−9.0 pp
85.5%
Bot %76.2%
−9.1 pp
85.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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