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Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?

data as of 2026-01-12 15:37 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$17K−$169K$186K
Holders380+228152
Trades3.5K+7522.8K
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate47.0%
−25.1 pp
72.1%
Avg ROI20.4%
+11.0 pp
9.4%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×10.51
+9.60×
×0.91
Top-20 avg cost vs price×24.92
+24.05×
×0.87
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$18
−$1.9K
$1.9K
Recent buyer dominance0.88
−0.06
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-95.7%
−110.3 pp
14.6%
Underwater %99.7%
+99.7 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %21.4%
−52.9 pp
74.3%
Bot %6.4%
−55.2 pp
61.6%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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