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Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 on July 4?

data as of 2026-07-04 10:54 UTC▲ Higher win rate: No🗓️ settles Jul 5, 2026Trade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO
100¢
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$0−$80$80
Holders3+21
Trades8+71
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate0.0%
−98.1 pp
98.1%
Avg ROI0.0%
+0.6 pp
-0.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.00
+0.00×
×1.00
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.41
+0.41×
×1.00
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$0
−$80
$80
Recent buyer dominance0.00
−1.00
1.00
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-29.1%
−29.1 pp
0.0%
Underwater %41.0%
+41.0 pp
0.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Bot %100.0%
+100.0 pp
0.0%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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