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Will Donald Trump be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

data as of 2026-04-30 11:11 UTC● RESOLVEDNo won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
YES
0¢
NO✓ WON
100¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
YES
0¢
YesY-NNo
Position$67−$648$715
Holders13−619
Trades82+2260
NO
100¢
YesΔ Y−NNo
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.7%
−25.5 pp
81.2%
Avg ROI22.9%
+19.3 pp
3.7%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×1.22
+0.21×
×1.01
Top-20 avg cost vs price×1.89
+0.93×
×0.96
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$2
−$36
$38
Recent buyer dominance0.80
+0.07
0.73
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL-44.0%
−48.6 pp
4.6%
Underwater %87.6%
+22.4 pp
65.2%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %28.4%
−32.3 pp
60.7%
Bot %28.4%
−32.3 pp
60.7%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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