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Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

data as of 2026-04-02 16:55 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$35K+$15K$20K
Holders420+36384
Trades5.3K−405.3K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate55.0%
+11.0 pp
44.1%
Avg ROI-0.4%
+0.5 pp
-0.9%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.57
−5.84×
×6.41
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.61
−5.34×
×5.95
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$27.3K
+$7.9K
$19.4K
Recent buyer dominance0.91
−0.04
0.94
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL69.0%
+152.3 pp
-83.3%
Underwater %2.6%
−87.4 pp
90.0%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %86.1%
+3.8 pp
82.4%
Bot %85.9%
+2.6 pp
83.3%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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