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Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 7AM ET

data as of 2026-01-16 12:59 UTC● RESOLVEDUp won — final settle priceTrade on Polymarket ↗
UP✓ WON
100¢
DOWN
0¢
⏸ Signals below are frozen at the last trade before this market resolved — they are not live.
UP
100¢
UpU-DDown
Position$113K+$75K$38K
Holders144+9135
Trades5.1K−6045.7K
DOWN
0¢
UpΔ U−DDown
Track record
Avg settle win rate62.6%
+13.9 pp
48.7%
Avg ROI-1.8%
−6.4 pp
4.6%
Win-2x rate██
·
██
Avg profit factor██
·
██
Avg total profit██
·
██
Cost basis
Median cost vs price×0.54
−42.01×
×42.55
Top-20 avg cost vs price×0.57
−40.41×
×40.98
Fresh avg cost██
·
██
Grinder avg cost██
·
██
Flow
5m net volume$15.7K
+$1.5K
$14.1K
Recent buyer dominance0.87
−0.06
0.93
Time-norm taker flow██
·
██
Position health
Unrealized PnL74.9%
+172.4 pp
-97.5%
Underwater %0.0%
−99.7 pp
99.7%
Avg hold hours██
·
██
Behavior
Early-entry %██
·
██
Partial-exit %██
·
██
Crowd
New wallets %93.6%
−1.1 pp
94.6%
Bot %93.9%
−0.2 pp
94.1%
Smart %██
·
██
Shark %██
·
██
Grinder %██
·
██
OG holder %██
·
██
Concentration
Holder HHI██
·
██
Holder gini██
·
██
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